Fantasy Soccer Begin ‘Em, Sit ‘Em for Week 6 (2022)
Welcome again RotoBallers to our Week 6 matchups evaluation and Begin Em, Sit Em column for fantasy soccer. Final week was jam-packed with motion, kicking off with an upset in London, ending with an amazing divisional matchup Monday night time, and that includes one other 70+ level sport in between. One thing to notice is that now we have arrived at the start of the bye weeks. There are 4 groups off this week together with Detroit, Houston, Las Vegas, and Tennessee, which can scale back the choices in any respect 4 offensive positions, forcing us to start out gamers we’d in any other case bench.
For many who are unfamiliar, every week we’ll be analyzing each sport from the Sunday slate, serving to you optimize your fantasy lineups and take down your opponent. Be sure you verify again repeatedly for any updates on participant accidents or different pertinent info.
I will probably be overlaying the whole Sunday slate of video games plus the Monday Evening Soccer sport. There may be additionally a separate article for the Thursday Evening Soccer sport every week, so make sure to learn that as effectively. Hopefully, you had one of many a number of operating backs that exploded this week, a couple of of which have been rookies, and scored one other victory, which is what we’ll be out to perform once more this week. When you’ve got any further lineup questions, comply with me on Twitter @JoshCon, and be at liberty to ask away. Let’s dive into the matchups.
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Matchups Evaluation – 1:00 ET Video games
San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons
Unfold: 49ers -5.5
Implied Complete: 49ers (25) vs. Falcons (19.5)
Tempo: 49ers (Twenty eighth) vs. Falcons (seventeenth)
49ers Off. DVOA: 21.5% Go (eleventh), -9.8% Rush (twenty first)
Falcons Off. DVOA: 6.5% Go (18th), 14.7% Rush (2nd)
49ers Def. DVOA: -24.2% Go (fifth), -30.0% Rush (1st)
Falcons Def. DVOA: 11.6% Go (twentieth), 5.7% Rush (twenty seventh)
Matchups We Love:
Jeff Wilson Jr. (RB, SF)
Wilson Jr. had one other sport with over 100 scrimmage yards, including a speeding landing. He did cede some work to Tevin Coleman together with a five-yard rating on the bottom however Deebo Samuel acquired solely two carries once more. He’s very near being a workhorse again in an environment friendly speeding assault that initiatives to be profitable once more this week. Moreover, the matchup is a better one, making him a top-20 again this week.
Samuel was lucky to seek out the tip zone salvaging an in any other case disastrous efficiency with 32 whole yards. He nonetheless led the staff in targets so he stays the No. 1 learn however with Geroge Kittle again, Brandon Aiyuk in his standard function, Jauan Jennings rising, and the backfield concerned, there are far too many pass-catchers for Jimmy Garoppolo to assist all of them. The matchup is nice, the Falcons have given up the sixth-most factors to extensive receivers, propelling Samuel into the highest 15 and Aiyuk inside the highest 36.
Matchups We Hate:
Atlanta ran the ball 31 occasions in comparison with 25 passing makes an attempt however towards the stout Tampa Bay protection, they have been unable to seek out a lot success. Tyler Allgeier did obtain essentially the most carries with 13, in comparison with eight for Caleb Huntley, however sadly, Avery Williams got here in to steal an eight-yard landing. Going through the league’s hardest run protection, all of those backs are unplayable.
But once more these two discover themselves lumped collectively due to the quarterback and passing quantity. Pitts is anticipated to make his return this week however the matchup may be very tough and it is inconceivable to belief him at this level. He is simply forward of the streaming choices due to his upside however beneath all of the identified commodities. As anticipated, London nonetheless noticed first rate quantity with seven targets however with solely 147 passing yards to distribute, he couldn’t produce for fantasy. Including insult to damage, the one landing Marcus Mariota threw went to Olamide Zaccheaus. London is outdoors the highest 36 once more.
George Kittle (TE, SF)
Kittle had his greatest sport to this point with 5 catches for 47 yards. It isn’t a wow sport by any means, however on the tight finish place, it is ok to make him value beginning as a result of he at all times has the possibility to explode. He is within the high 10 in a plus matchup.
Elijah Mitchell (knee)
Cordarrelle Patterson (knee)
Damien Williams (ribs)
Kyle Pitts (hamstring)
UPDATE: Kyle Pitts is listed as questionable for Sunday’s sport, he practiced in a restricted trend Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday so it may go both manner however he appears more likely to play.
New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns
Unfold: Browns -3.0
Implied Complete: Patriots (20.25) vs. Browns (23.25)
Tempo: Patriots (twenty ninth) vs. Browns (twenty seventh)
Patriots Off. DVOA: -2.9% Go (twenty sixth), 6.3% Rush (eleventh)
Browns Off. DVOA: 23.7% Go (tenth), 15.4% Rush (1st)
Patriots Def. DVOA: -11.5% Go (eighth), 6.7% Rush (Twenty eighth)
Browns Def. DVOA: 8.6% Go (sixteenth), 20.5% Rush (thirty second)
Matchups We Love:
Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, NE)
Damien Harris left this sport early, leading to an enormous week from Stevenson who completed because the RB14. The matchup was about pretty much as good because it will get and the Patriots led the whole manner however with Harris out, Stevenson has elite upside. What’s wild is he completed that prime with no landing, so he may have simply cracked the highest 10. Thankfully, he now heads to Cleveland to face one other abysmal run protection that he ought to be capable to carve up. The Browns are favored but it surely’s unlikely they will construct a sufficiently big lead for New England to desert the run, plus he had two targets so he could also be sport script proof. He is a must-start on this matchup.
The person, the parable, the legend, Nick Chubb has been unstoppable up to now this season. He is the general RB1 and a must-start every week. The matchup by way of DVOA is fairly comfortable nevertheless the Patriots have given up the fifth-fewest fantasy factors to operating backs so it may very well be a lesser day than we have seen up to now. His counterpart Kareem Hunt had 14 touches of his personal, lastly discovering pay grime for the primary time since Week 1. He is a top-30 again on this matchup.
Matchups We Hate:
Jacoby Brissett (QB, CLE)
Brissett had a useable sport final week however faces a more durable protection, that’s way more susceptible on the bottom. Moreover, assuming the Browns can in actual fact get a lead, he’ll be extra of an afterthought, with desire given to their league-leading speeding assault. He is off the streaming radar this week.
Amari Cooper (WR, CLE)
Cooper got here by once more with a pleasant sport, doing so in three of 5 weeks now. He has the Twenty eighth-most yards per route run with 1.85, the Twenty eighth-highest PFF grade, and a 27.7% goal share. He is outdoors of the elite gamers on the place however nonetheless a top-30 possibility with top-24 upside due to his quantity, regardless of the more durable matchup.
David Njoku (TE, CLE)
Njoku is making a robust case to be considered within the second tier of tight ends. He is the TE9 on the season, with three straight weeks of 5 or extra catches and 73-plus receiving yards. Regardless that New England has a robust go protection, he ranks inside the highest 10 once more.
Jakobi Meyers (WR, NE)
Meyers returned from damage and resumed his massive goal share as the point of interest of the passing assault. This was an particularly massive sport with seven grabs for 111 yards and a rating. It was good to see this sort of outing with Bailey Zappe on the helm, confirming he’ll be the No. 1 goal no matter who’s throwing him the ball. Meyers slots in as a top-30 receiver towards a middle-of-the-pack Browns protection that has given up some massive performs.
Jonnu Smith (ankle)
Mac Jones (ankle)
Ty Montgomery (ankle)
Damien Harris (hamstring)
UPDATE: Jonnu Smith and Mac Jones are listed as questionable for Sunday’s sport, their presence may profit the offense however doesn’t change the outlook for Meyers or Stevenson.
New York Jets at Inexperienced Bay Packers
Unfold: Packers -7.5
Implied Complete: Jets (18.75) vs. Packers (26.25)
Tempo: Jets (1st) vs. Packers (thirty second)
Jets Off. DVOA: 1.6% Go (nineteenth), -0.7% Rush (14th)
Packers Off. DVOA: 16.9% Go (Thirteenth), 12.4% Rush (third)
Jets Def. DVOA: 13.9% Go (twenty ninth), -4.7% Rush (nineteenth)
Packers Def. DVOA: 2.2% Go (eleventh), 12.4% Rush (thirtieth)
Matchups We Love:
Breece Hall (RB, NYJ)
Corridor has been progressively taking on the lead-back function and all the pieces lastly clicked this week for an enormous sport. He had practically 200 scrimmage yards and one landing, which if not for being tackled contained in the five-yard line twice, and Michael Carter stealing two goal-line touchdowns, would have been much more. He now has six breakaway runs (15+ yards), the fifth-most targets on the place, and a 14.2% goal share. He’s a rising star that has the chance to face a beatable Packers protection this week, locking him into the highest 15.
Aaron Rodgers (QB, GB)
As per standard, Rodgers completed with round 250 yards passing yards, 222 this week, and two passing touchdowns, because the QB10, which has been what you possibly can anticipate from him most weeks this season. The Jets are a positive matchup, protecting Rodgers in that QB10-QB12 vary once more this week.
The Jets’ protection is less complicated to go towards than to run, so regardless of the identification of the Packers being their speeding assault, there’s a possibility for the receivers to provide on this matchup. Randall Cobb entered the sport with 12 targets over the primary 4 weeks and completed with 13 towards the Giants, which you’d anticipate to be an outlier efficiency. This correlated with a discount in quantity for Romeo Doubs, who solely noticed 5 targets, whereas Allen Lazard nonetheless has eight and scored once more. Lazard and Doubs are nonetheless their two most proficient receivers, making every a top-30 possibility on this matchup. You’ll be able to chase the Cobb efficiency in the event you like, however that is a choice that’s more likely to result in disappointment.
Matchups We Hate:
Zach Wilson (QB, NYJ)
New York dominated the Dolphins, relying closely on the run sport, partly as a result of they have been main the whole second half. Wilson did sufficient to get the win however would not possess a lot fantasy attraction provided that he would not throw for lots of yards and most of their touchdowns have a tendency to come back on the bottom. Inexperienced Bay can also be a more difficult matchup, protecting him in your bench.
Tyler Conklin (TE, NYJ)
Wilson taking on for Joe Flacco has actually damage Conklin’s worth, leading to a goose egg this week with zero factors. There are too many receiving choices and never sufficient targets to maintain Conklin. He is greatest prevented till we see one thing extra from him.
The Packers have been up 10 factors at halftime, on schedule to lean on their operating sport and feed Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon through the second half. Sadly, they blew their 10-point lead and solely noticed three possessions the whole half, considered one of which was a three-and-out, ultimately shedding to New York. The consequence was 20 whole carries, 13 of which went to Jones in comparison with six for Dillon. The Jets are a mean matchup towards the run, and the Packers are once more heavy favorites so it initiatives to be an amazing alternative for each backs. The dip in utilization for Dillon is regarding, pushing him outdoors the highest 24 whereas Jones stays a top-15 again.
The three-way battle between Corey Davis, Elijah Moore, and Garrett Wilson persists. Davis led the trio in offensive snaps with 45 and routes run with 22 whereas tying for essentially the most targets with 4, Moore had 41 offensive snaps, 19 routes run, and 4 targets, adopted by Wilson with 33 snaps, 18 routes run, and 4 targets. The metrics say Davis is the lead receiver for the reason that return of Wilson at quarterback however all three are splitting a small quantity of quantity. The purpose unfold and tempo counsel they will have to air it out extra on this matchup but it surely’s laborious to belief any of them as something greater than flex choices with top-30 upside.
Robert Tonyan (TE, GB)
The tight finish place is changing into more and more bleak, so getting 4 catches for 23 yards is not a whole catastrophe. Inexperienced Bay ought to maintain offense extra efficiently on this matchup, creating further landing upside for Tonyan, who’s a possible streaming possibility.
Sammy Watkins (hamstring)
Christian Watson (quadriceps)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Unfold: Colts -2.0
Implied Complete: Jaguars (22) vs. Colts (20)
Tempo: Jaguars (twenty third) vs. Colts (18th)
Jaguars Off. DVOA: 25.8% Go (ninth), -17.2% Rush (twenty ninth)
Colts Off. DVOA: -30.0% Go (thirty second), -32.5% Rush (thirty second)
Jaguars Def. DVOA: -11.4% Go (ninth), -12.4% Rush (ninth)
Colts Def. DVOA: 12.6% Go (twenty first), -23.6% Rush (2nd)
Matchups We Love:
Christian Kirk dropped to fifth on the staff in targets on Sunday with solely three. After three weeks of regular manufacturing, he has completely disenchanted the previous two video games. The offense ought to fare higher towards the Colts, who’re simpler to go towards however the quantity is regarding. Zay Jones has been a constant point of interest when wholesome, so he and Kirk are the very best bets forward of Marvin Jones Jr. to have a giant sport. Jones is a secure quantity play whereas Kirk is riskier with the next ceiling.
Matchups We Hate:
Trevor Lawrence (QB, JAX)
Lawrence dedicated two extra turnovers towards Houston, bringing his whole to seven prior to now two weeks. His yardage whole was nonetheless fairly excessive however the offense couldn’t discover the tip zone. We knew the Texans have been a greater protection than they have been initially given credit score for however Lawrence is admittedly laborious to belief towards the Colts who’re giving up the Twelfth-fewest factors to quarterbacks.
James Robinson and Travis Etienne each had 10 carries, whereas Etienne had three extra targets. Moreover, he was way more productive along with his workload accumulating 114 scrimmage yards in comparison with 39 for Robinson. The offensive snaps additionally favored Etienne 40-30. There seems to be a altering of the guard right here, which makes Etienne extra interesting. The issue is that the offense has struggled the previous two weeks and Indianapolis is difficult to run towards. It will be fascinating to see if the takeover continues, within the meantime, each are top-36 backs with desire given to Etienne.
Jonathan Taylor (RB, IND)
Outdoors of Week 1, it has been a gradual begin to the yr for Taylor, who missed final week with an damage. He has been training and is hopeful to play on Sunday. If energetic, there will probably be considerations in regards to the extent of his workload, plus it is a tough matchup. He is too good to bench fully however he’ll be outdoors the highest 12 as extra of a top-20 again.
Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce had eight and 9 targets respectively, which is nice. Pierce was extra productive however Pittman Jr.’s massive play potential offers him a stable ceiling. The Jaguars are one other powerful staff to go towards, which may very well be an issue for Matt Ryan. Pittman stays a top-24 receiver due to his upside and Pierce is a dependable top-30 possibility.
Evan Engram (TE, JAX)
Engram has eight-plus targets in two of his 5 video games together with 10 final week. He is not a lock by any means, however given the present panorama, he enters the tight finish streaming dialog.
Jonathan Taylor (ankle)
Nyheim Hines (concussion)
UPDATE: Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines have each been dominated out. Final week we noticed Deon Jackson and Phillip Lindsay share the workload after Hines left, making every a possible flex play, with the sting given to Jackson.
Minnesota Vikings at Miami Dolphins
Unfold: Vikings -3.0
Implied Complete: Vikings (24.5) vs. Dolphins (21.5)
Tempo: Vikings (third) vs. Dolphins (twenty sixth)
Vikings Off. DVOA: 14.2% Go (14th), 6.7% Rush (tenth)
Dolphins Off. DVOA: 36.7% Go (fifth), -2.3% Rush (fifteenth)
Vikings Def. DVOA: 18.3% Go (twenty sixth), -0.7% Rush (twenty third)
Dolphins Def. DVOA: 31.9% Go (thirty second), -14.5% Rush (seventh)
Matchups We Love:
Justin Jefferson has clearly moved on from his two-week dip in manufacturing, cementing himself as a top-five receiver. Adam Thielen‘s closing stat line was underwhelming however he had seven targets, behind solely Jefferson, and has been thrown to by Cousins 5 occasions contained in the 10-yard line this season, it simply hasn’t labored out but. He is trending towards being touchdown-dependent, which was what we have been seeing towards the tip of final season, making him a top-36 receiver given the juicy matchup.
Kirk Cousins (QB, MIN)
The matchup is even higher for quarterbacks, a place the Dolphins are permitting the third-most fantasy factors towards. Given the low quarterback scoring, Cousins completed because the QB6 final week and can rank inside the highest 10 this week.
Raheem Mostert (RB, MIA)
Mostert has stunned many by taking over a workhorse function on the age of 31. He does have familiarity with the system and has been explosive with 4 breakaway runs. He additionally had 18 of the 23 (78%) backfield makes an attempt and performed on 69% of offensive snaps. The matchup is nice and the utilization has been elite however Chase Edmonds stays a menace, making him a top-24 starter.
Matchups We Hate:
Dalvin Cook (RB, MIN)
Cook dinner tore up the Chicago protection discovering the tip zone twice with over 100 scrimmage yards. Alexander Mattison continues to see an elevated workload with 9 carries and 4 targets towards the Bears. He is getting into the dialog for standalone worth however stays a high-upside backup whereas Cook dinner is a top-12 again.
Neither Jaylen Waddle nor Tyreek Hill was absolutely wholesome getting into the sport, leading to a poor outing from each, particularly by their requirements. This marks two consecutive weeks that Waddle has been questionable main into the competition after which underwhelmed. Fortunately, each he and Hill are off the damage report and must be good to go. If Teddy Bridgewater can return, then these two will return to being top-15 receivers in a good matchup, in any other case, they every fall a couple of spots with rookie Skylar Thompson making his first begin.
Irv Smith Jr. (TE, MIN)
Since Week 2, Smith Jr. has averaged about six targets per sport and located the tip zone as soon as. The offense and passing assault are each above common, making him a good streaming possibility in a pleasant matchup.
Tua Tagovailoa (concussion)
Raheem Mostert (knee)
Teddy Bridgewater (concussion)
UPDATE: Teddy Bridgewater and Raheem Mostert are listed as questionable for Sunday’s sport. Mostert is anticipated to play however Bridgewater nonetheless must clear concussion protocol. Nothing from the outlook above has modified.
Cincinnati Bengals at New Orleans Saints
Unfold: Bengals -2.0
Implied Complete: Bengals (22.5) vs. Saints (20.5)
Tempo: Bengals (twentieth) vs. Saints (eleventh)
Bengals Off. DVOA: -0.1% Go (twenty second), -17.7% Rush (Twenty eighth)
Saints Off. DVOA: -5.9% Go (twenty seventh), 11.4% Rush (4th)
Bengals Def. DVOA: -12.2% Go (seventh), -11.2% Rush (eleventh)
Saints Def. DVOA: 5.6% Go (Thirteenth), -12.0% Rush (tenth)
Matchups We Love:
Tee Higgins was a no-show on Sunday night time, after re-aggravating his ankle damage. The consequence was zero fantasy factors, which ought to have meant an enormous alternative for Ja’Marr Chase. His 12 targets have been precisely what we had hoped for however seven receptions for 50 yards left rather a lot to be desired. The matchup favors the passing assault, so Chase is locked in as a top-12 receiver with Higgins as extra of a priority given the damage state of affairs. Tyler Boyd and Mike Thomas have been each concerned so it will be tough to belief both as something aside from a dangerous flex possibility if Higgins misses.
Matchups We Hate:
Joe Mixon (RB, CIN)
Mixon’s function is likely one of the most safe amongst all tailbacks regardless of his inefficiency. He had one other 14 carries and three receptions however the matchup this week is one other tough one. He strikes outdoors the highest 12 as a volume-based top-20 again.
Joe Burrow (QB, CIN)
The offensive line is displaying delicate enchancment however Burrow has but to open up the offense and take deep pictures down the sector, with simply 6.9 yards per try on the season. He is averaging 242 passing yards and two touchdowns over the previous 4 weeks with two finishes because the QB10 or higher. The Saints have a mean passing protection, making him a top-12 quarterback this week.
Alvin Kamara (RB, NO)
Kamara was the beneficiary of there being no wholesome extensive receivers on Sunday. Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry have been unable to go well with up and Chris Olave left early within the third quarter. Kamara made essentially the most of his six receptions compiling 91 receiving yards to pair along with his 103 speeding yards. This was a classic Kamara efficiency that would have been greater if “tight finish” Taysom Hill did not run in three touchdowns. The matchup is much more tough this week however with all three receivers nonetheless unsure to play, this may very well be one other alternative for him to excel as a receiver.
Taysom Hill (TE, NO)
It feels compulsory to incorporate Hill right here primarily based on his 4 touchdowns towards the Seahawks. The ceiling is clear, it is actually a matter of his flooring, which stays extremely low. The worth of a carry is lower than the worth of a goal, and he solely tried one passing try so he’s primarily a backup operating again with explosiveness. The matchup is much more tough but when Jameis Winston is dominated out once more, Hill is a dangerous, high-upside possibility.
Hayden Hurst (TE, CIN)
Hurst has discovered pay grime in back-to-back weeks, and noticed seven targets, capitalizing on Burrow’s shorter depth of goal. He is working his manner into weekly starter standing as a top-12 possibility with top-10 upside this week.
Jameis Winston (again, ankle)
Michael Thomas (toe)
Jarvis Landry (ankle)
Chris Olave (concussion)
Tee Higgins (ankle)
UPDATE: Tee Higgins is listed as questionable for Sunday’s sport, he is a really dangerous begin if he fits up after what we final noticed week.
UPDATE: Michael Thomas, Jameis Winston, and Jarvis Landry are all out as anticipated. Chris Olave is near clearing concussion protocol and has a practical shot to play, he is a top-24 receiver is energetic.
Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants
Unfold: Ravens -5.5
Implied Complete: Ravens (25.5) vs. Giants (20)
Tempo: Ravens (thirty first) vs. Giants (14th)
Ravens Off. DVOA: 42.3% Go (2nd), 4.4% Rush (Thirteenth)
Giants Off. DVOA: 11.8% Go (fifteenth), 9.4% Rush (sixth)
Ravens Def. DVOA: 0.0% Go (tenth), 4.0% Rush (twenty sixth)
Giants Def. DVOA: 15.1% Go (twenty fourth), -1.2% Rush (twenty first)
Matchups We Love:
Lamar Jackson (QB, BAL)
Jackson survived two tough matchups towards Buffalo and Cincinnati and now heads to New York for an amazing matchup. He nonetheless had 12 carries for 58 yards final week however solely threw for 174 yards and one landing. You’ll be able to anticipate a bounce-back efficiency as a top-five quarterback this week.
Mark Andrews (TE, BAL)
Andrews actually requires no write-up. He is the TE2 on the yr and has a shot to be the TE1 every week, particularly given the matchup towards the Giants.
Saquon Barkley (RB, NYG)
Barkley is doing all the pieces for this offense. He is their greatest operating again, he is their greatest receiver, and he even appeared good on his carry lined up within the wild cat formation. He has 9 breakaway runs, second solely to Chubb, and will get the Ravens’ protection this week. He is a must-start.
Matchups We Hate:
J.K. Dobbins (RB, BAL)
With Justice Hill dominated out, there was purpose to imagine he’d see extra work. Sadly, Kenyon Drake noticed 4 carries and Mike Davis had one, plus Devin Duvernay had three as a receiver. As well as, he solely acquired one goal. Dobbins has the next likelihood to attain a landing than most of the different operating backs that’ll be ranked forward of him, however with out extra quantity, he is very touchdown-dependent. He’ll be a top-36 again with upside.
Devin Duvernay (WR, BAL)
Duvernay’s utilization is trending upward with Rashod Bateman out. He noticed seven targets, second solely to Andrews, and three carries, behind Dobbins and Jackson. If Bateman misses once more, he’ll be a top-30 possibility with top-24 upside.
Gus Edwards (knee)
Justice Hill (hamstring)
Rashod Bateman (foot)
Wan’Dale Robinson (knee)
Kenny Golladay (knee)
Kadarius Toney (hamstring)
UPDATE: Rashod Bateman is out once more as anticipated.
UPDATE: Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney are out once more whereas Wan’Dale Robinson is listed as questionable after three restricted practices, which means he may make his debut. He’d be an upside flex possibility if he is energetic primarily based on quantity.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Unfold: Buccaneers -8.0
Implied Complete: Buccaneers (26.25) vs. Steelers (18.25)
Tempo: Buccaneers (4th) vs. Steelers (fifth)
Buccaneers Off. DVOA: 26.1% Go (eighth), -19.6% Rush (twenty ninth)
Steelers Off. DVOA: -1.4% Go (twenty fourth), -15.8% Rush (twenty sixth)
Buccaneers Def. DVOA: -29.4% Go (1st), -7.6% Rush (14th)
Steelers Def. DVOA: 11.1% Go (18th), -6.6% Rush (seventeenth)
Matchups We Love:
Tom Brady (QB, TB)
Brady solely scored as soon as towards the Falcons however generated 351 yards on 52 makes an attempt. There is a fairly excessive likelihood that he will not have to throw the ball 52 occasions for them to win this week, however after main the league in go makes an attempt final yr, he’ll nonetheless air out a ton. Pittsburgh is lacking too many gamers to decelerate the Buccaneers passing assault, making Brady a top-10 quarterback.
Brady actually distributed the ball final week, leading to six totally different gamers ending with six or extra targets. It isn’t very best for Mike Evans and Chris Godwin however subsequent to Leonard Fournette, they have been nonetheless the most efficient. They’re each top-20 receivers in a implausible matchup, the Steelers have given up essentially the most factors to fantasy extensive receivers. There’s sufficient quantity to assist a 3rd possibility, however that may more than likely be the participant listed subsequent.
Leonard Fournette (RB, TB)
Fournette is again to his receiving function from final season, averaging eight targets per sport during the last three weeks. Rachaad White has began to see extra work however as long as Fournette maintains the goal-line function and receives five-plus targets every week, he is a top-15 again on this offense. The purpose unfold and tempo of play ought to equate to a number of quantity and carries on this matchup, locking him into the highest 12 this week.
Matchups We Hate:
Najee Harris (RB, PIT)
Harris doesn’t seem again to full well being. His inefficiency and decreased quantity are a recipe for catastrophe. Jaylen Warren took away 5 carries and 5 targets this week, plus he acquired an endorsement from the teaching employees that they’ll proceed to make use of him extra. Harris has a troublesome matchup, with a struggling offense, and competitors within the backfield. He is a participant to keep away from if potential.
52 passing makes an attempt and 327 passing yards have been greater than anticipated final week. The quantity does create some optimism for the receiving corps because it led to eight or extra targets for Chase Claypool, George Pickens, and Diontae Johnson. It possible helped that tight finish Pat Freiermuth left with a concussion but it surely’s encouraging to see a deal with this trio. The Steelers now face the highest-ranked passing protection, which means it will be one other powerful day for this offense. Johnson could be the most secure wager for quantity adopted by Pickens for his explosiveness however these two are nonetheless outdoors the highest 30.
Julio Jones (knee)
Russell Gage (ankle)
Pat Freiermuth (concussion)
Diontae Johnson (hip)
UPDATE: Russell Gage will play whereas Julio Jones is listed as uncertain, nearly definitely which means he’ll miss. Neither is an intriguing possibility this week.
UPDATE: Diontae Johnson will play whereas Pat Freiermuth is out, his absence will focus the targets as soon as once more.
Matchups Evaluation – 4:00 ET Video games
Carolina Panthers at Los Angeles Rams
Unfold: Rams -10.0
Implied Complete: Panthers (16) vs. Rams (26)
Tempo: Panthers (sixth) vs. Rams (nineteenth)
Panthers Off. DVOA: -13.3% Go (thirtieth), -29.9% Rush (thirty first)
Rams Off. DVOA: -2.8% Go (twenty fifth), -15.2% Rush (fifteenth)
Panthers Def. DVOA: 13.8% Go (twenty second), -7.5% Rush (sixteenth)
Rams Def. DVOA: 9.4% Go (seventeenth), -20.0% Rush (fifth)
Matchups We Love:
Cooper Kupp (WR, LAR)
Kupp is on tempo for 218 targets, 167 receptions, 1,792 receiving yards, and 14 touchdowns. It isn’t fairly the output from final yr but it surely’s far nearer than was anticipated. He is the very best receiver in soccer, locking him into your lineup every week.
Tyler Higbee (TE, LAR)
Higbee noticed 10 targets once more final week, and now has 9 or extra targets in 4 of 5 weeks. He leads all tight ends with 48 targets, he is tied with Travis Kelce for essentially the most receptions with 33, and is commanding a 25.3% goal share. Higbee is the king of quantity proper now, making him a must-start.
Matchups We Hate:
This backfield is a multitude, very like the Los Angeles speeding assault. They solely rushed the ball 15 occasions, 13 of which went to Cam Akers, whereas Darrell Henderson didn’t rush the ball in any respect however acquired 5 targets. The matchup is healthier this week and the Panthers have given up the seventh-most fantasy factors to the place however with these two operating backs sharing the workload, they’re each gamers to fade.
Matthew Stafford (QB, LAR)
Stafford has the same downside to Burrow, his offensive line is just not defending him, forcing him to throw rapidly and take a number of sacks. The matchup is significantly better this week, laborious to not be after enjoying the Cowboys, however he is but to show he deserves to be inside the highest 15.
D.J. Moore (WR, CAR)
Moore’s quantity is beginning to climb with 19 targets prior to now two video games, offering hope he can return to fantasy relevance. The problem now could be that Baker Mayfield is sidelined, forcing P.J. Walker to take over because the starter. Mayfield wasn’t precisely lighting up, and Moore does have a historical past with Walker so there’s nonetheless purpose to imagine he can succeed. The Rams are powerful to run towards however have given up the fourth-most factors to receivers, making Moore a top-36 possibility.
Christian McCaffrey (RB, CAR)
McCaffrey noticed 12 targets this week, securing his passing function. Regardless of the transition at quarterback and tough matchup, he’ll stay a must-start again due to his receiving work.
Van Jefferson (knee)
Baker Mayfield (ankle)
UPDATE: Cam Akers has surprisingly been dominated out for private causes, leaving Henderson with the backfield to himself, shifting him into the top-30 with top-24 upside.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
Unfold: Cardinals -2.5
Implied Complete: Cardinals (26.5) vs. Seahawks (24)
Tempo: Cardinals (tenth) vs. Seahawks (twenty fourth)
Cardinals Off. DVOA: -0.8% Go (twenty third), -3.5% Rush (sixteenth)
Seahawks Off. DVOA: 45.1% Go (1st), 5.3% Rush (Twelfth)
Cardinals Def. DVOA: 19.6% Go (twenty seventh), -9.1% Rush (Twelfth)
Seahawks Def. DVOA: 31.4% Go (thirty first), 0.0% Rush (twenty fourth)
Matchups We Love:
Kyler Murray (QB, ARI)
Murray struggled towards the Eagles, very like the opposite quarterbacks they’ve confronted, however outdoors of final week and Week 3 towards the Rams, he is been stable over the primary 5 weeks and now heads to Seattle to face one of many worst go defenses within the NFL. The rationale Murray is not having elite weeks has largely been the missing of speeding, he is averaging solely about 5 makes an attempt per sport for 27 yards with two touchdowns on the bottom. It is sufficient to supply a small increase however not propel him into that elite tier. Fortunately, he’ll be greater than able to beating Seattle by the air, making him a must-start this week.
Marquise Brown (WR, ARI)
Brown is likely one of the two main beneficiaries on this plus matchup. He is had 10-plus targets in 4 straight weeks, and trails solely Kupp and Jefferson on the yr. He is a must-start top-12 receiver on this matchup.
Zach Ertz (TE, ARI)
Ertz is the opposite participant who advantages right here. He has six receptions in three straight weeks with 45 or extra yards in 4 consecutive weeks. He is fourth in targets amongst all tight ends, making him a must-start on this matchup.
Geno Smith (QB, SEA)
The Seahawks are fantasy gold, they’ve a horrible protection mixed with the league’s greatest offense. Sure, that is appropriate, the No. 1 offense. Add within the Cardinals’ go protection on the opposite facet and this matchup is implausible for all passing choices. Between the matchup and his excellent efficiency by the primary 5 weeks, he is earned must-start standing.
We knew DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are an elite duo, what we did not notice was simply how effectively Smith can distribute the ball to them. They’ve mixed for a 55.1% goal share and are each at the moment within the high 20 by 5 weeks. They’re top-15 receivers in a beautiful matchup.
Matchups We Hate:
Eno Benjamin (RB, ARI)
Benjamin acquired a number of reward throughout coaching camp, main many to imagine he could be the first backup to James Conner. Darrel Williams was signed by the staff and has competed with Benjamin for the backup function, nevertheless, Williams and Conner have now each been dominated out for this matchup, offering an enormous alternative for Benjamin because the lead again. The staff plans to activate rookie Keaontay Ingram and might also elevate Corey Clement or Ty’Son Williams from the apply squad, but it surely’s Benjamin who we’ll be beginning this week. The matchup, the over/below, the unfold, and the state of affairs all level to a doubtlessly nice sport, which makes him a top-24 again with upside.
Kenneth Walker III (RB, SEA)
Very like Benjamin, Walker III finds himself in a beginning function on account of an damage to their starter Rashaad Penny. DeeJay Dallas is anticipated to think about on passing downs and will steal some carries however so long as he is received the goal-line function and will get the vast majority of the work, he’ll do effectively on this matchup. He is additionally a top-24 again with upside.
James Conner (ribs)
Darrel Williams (knee)
Tyler Lockett (hamstring)
UPDATE: Tyler Lockett has been faraway from the damage report.
Buffalo Payments at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Unfold: Payments -2.5
Implied Complete: Payments (28.25) vs. Chiefs (25.75)
Tempo: Payments (seventh) vs. Chiefs (twenty first)
Payments Off. DVOA: 40.6% Go (third), -24.2% Rush (thirtieth)
Chiefs Off. DVOA: 37.3% Go (4th), -8.1% Rush (nineteenth)
Payments Def. DVOA: -21.5% Go (sixth), -22.3% Rush (third)
Chiefs Def. DVOA: 11.5% Go (nineteenth), -12.6% Rush (eighth)
Matchups We Love:
Josh Allen (QB, BUF)
A rematch of the epic playoff sport between these two groups breeds pleasure for all. Allen is the one quarterback to complete within the high 12 each week and will probably be a must-start right here contemporary off torching the Steelers.
With an enormous over/below and Allen on the helm, Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, and even Isaiah McKenzie need to be in your lineup this week. Diggs is a top-five receiver, with Davis a top-24 boom-bust play, and McKenzie is within the top-36.
Matchups We Hate:
The Buffalo protection is even more durable towards the run than the go. Clyde Edwards-Helaire lastly busted final week, primarily as a result of Jerick McKinnon performed excellently, incomes eight carries and three targets. It left solely 9 carries and 4 targets for Edwards-Helaire, which he was 35 scrimmage yards. Between these two and rookie Isaih Pacheco, there are too many our bodies on this backfield to belief any of them in a brutal matchup.
Very like the Payments, the Chiefs are stronger towards the run. Moreover, Buffalo simply prefers to not run the ball, evidenced by their 18 whole carries in a sport they led 31-3 at halftime. Moreover, 5 of these went to Allen. Devin Singletary was getting by on his receiving work, however even with McKenzie out final week, he solely had two targets. He could be the one to start out in the event you wished to get in on this high-scoring affair, but it surely’s a dangerous transfer.
Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC)
It could be disrespectful to the Buffalo protection to place Mahomes within the “matchups we love” part however he is proper on the cusp due to the over/below. He is additionally confirmed he can overcome tough matchups, as evidenced towards the Buccaneers a few weeks in the past. He is a must-start this week.
Travis Kelce (TE, KC)
Kelce is on this part for a similar purpose as Mahomes however we have already established in earlier weeks that he is matchup-proof, so you possibly can fireplace him up with full confidence.
Sometimes this receiving corps finds themselves within the “matchups we hate” part as a result of there’s nonetheless not a clear-cut lead receiver and a lot of the amount goes to Kelce and the backfield. Nevertheless, given the anticipated factors scored, it is value taking a shot on JuJu Smith-Schuster or Marquez Valdes-Scantling, each of whom had eight targets towards the Raiders. They’re top-36 receivers on this matchup.
Dawson Knox (TE, BUF)
Very like the Chiefs WRs, Knox will get a lift in worth this week. He is a robust streaming possibility that has a number of touchdown-upside.
Dawson Knox (foot/hamstring)
UPDATE: Dawson Knox is energetic as anticipated and stays a robust streaming possibility.
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Unfold: Eagles -6.5
Implied Complete: Cowboys (17.75) vs. Eagles (24.25)
Tempo: Cowboys (ninth) vs. Eagles (fifteenth)
Cowboys Off. DVOA: 7.2% Go (seventeenth), 6.8% Rush (ninth)
Eagles Off. DVOA: 30.6% Go (seventh), 10.7% Rush (fifth)
Cowboys Def. DVOA: -26.6% Go (4th), -5.4% Rush (18th)
Eagles Def. DVOA: -26.6% Go (third), -4.4% Rush (twentieth)
Matchups We Love:
Miles Sanders (RB, PHI)
The Eagles have an elite speeding assault and face a Dallas protection that’s simpler to run towards than go on. This bodes effectively for Sanders who nonetheless had 15 carries final week and three targets however misplaced the sport of landing roulette twice to Jalen Hurts. He has 15 or extra carries in each sport this season with three targets in three of the previous 4 weeks. He additionally has the ninth-most yards after contact, Thirteenth-most missed tackles compelled, and sixth-most makes an attempt amongst all backs. His utilization and the matchup make him a top-24 play this week.
Matchups We Hate:
Passing towards the Eagles has been a problem, which is regarding for a quarterback like Cooper Rush. Very like Philly, Dallas will lean on their operating sport, decreasing the ceiling for CeeDee Lamb and Michael Gallup. Final week Rush solely tried 16 passes, which is probably going the recipe for fulfillment because the underdogs once more this week. Lamb falls outdoors the highest 20 and Gallup outdoors the highest 30.
Dalton Schultz (TE, DAL)
With a troublesome matchup, the damage, and his lack of manufacturing this season, Schultz is on the bench this week.
Jalen Hurts (QB, PHI)
Hurts can have an uphill battle passing towards this protection, thankfully, he does simply as a lot injury on the bottom, so whereas he drops a couple of spots within the rankings this week, he is nonetheless a top-10 quarterback.
Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI)
Goedert is the one tight finish to complete within the high 12 each week up to now, pushing to be subsequent up after Kelce and Andrews. He is additionally within the high 10 regardless of the powerful matchup.
A.J. Brown took a backseat to Goedert and DeVonta Smith final week, leading to a poor outing for him whereas Smith completed with 10 receptions for 87 yards. It’s tough for all three to obtain excessive quantity when this offense focuses extra on their speeding assault. The potential for decrease quantity and a troublesome matchup drops Brown outdoors the highest 10 and Smith outdoors the highest 20.
The 2-headed monster of Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard will probably be on full show Sunday night time as they attempt to management the tempo and decelerate the sport. Elliott had 22 of the 30 (73%) backfield carries final week and neither had a goal. Pollard has the next elusive ranking, extra missed tackles compelled on fewer carries, and the fourth-highest PFF grade, 30 spots forward of Elliott. Sadly, with out safe quantity, he’ll want explosive performs to maintain success every week. Elliot is a top-24 again due to quantity whereas Pollard is within the high 30 due to his upside.
Dak Prescott (thumb)
Dalton Schultz (knee)
UPDATE: Dalton Schultz practiced in full on Friday, indicating he’ll possible play. He is a bench as outlined above.
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers
Unfold: Chargers -4.5
Implied Complete: Broncos (20.5) vs. Chargers (25)
Tempo: Broncos (twenty fifth) vs. Chargers (eighth)
Broncos Off. DVOA: 0.6% Go (twenty first), -14.5% Rush (twenty third)
Chargers Off. DVOA: 32.7% Go (sixth), -15.1% Rush (twenty fourth)
Broncos Def. DVOA: -27.5% Go (2nd), -7.5% Rush (fifteenth)
Chargers Def. DVOA: 2.7% Go (Twelfth), -1.0% Rush (twenty second)
Matchups We Love:
Melvin Gordon (RB, DEN)
The Chargers are bleeding factors within the run sport but once more this yr, because the No. 1 fantasy matchup for operating backs. Gordon took care of the ball of their loss to the Colts, performed on 56% of snaps, had greater than double the carries Mike Boone did, and tied him with three targets. He is a top-30 again with top-24 upside in an amazing matchup.
Austin Ekeler (RB, LAC)
Ekeler has 18 or extra touches in 4 of his 5 video games with a minimum of 4 receptions in each considered one of them. The matchup truly favors the run, which is the way in which the Chargers will assault Denver. Ekeler resumes his spot within the high 12.
Matchups We Hate:
Russell Wilson (QB, DEN)
Wilson’s struggles might now be partially attributable to a shoulder damage, which he acquired an injection for, however it’s nonetheless anticipated to be a difficulty shifting ahead. No matter whether or not the damage, the teaching employees, or his incapacity to execute are accountable for his struggles, it is clear he has been dangerous. The matchup is center of the pack however he is very laborious to belief given all of the elements outlined.
Justin Herbert (QB, LAC)
Herbert was rendered pointless final week due to the efficiency Ekeler put collectively, and there’s a likelihood we see that once more right here. Herbert continues to be lacking Keenan Allen and the rib damage continues to linger so he falls outdoors the elite tier however continues to be within the high 12.
Fortunately, Wilson’s demise has not prohibited Courtland Sutton and Jerry Jeudy from sustaining fantasy relevance. They each noticed eight or extra targets final week to guide the receiving corps. They’re going to hope for a giant play or a landing however quantity will preserve each within the high 30 in an okay matchup.
Mike Williams (WR, LAC)
As long as Allen stays sidelined, Williams is a implausible possibility, bordering on a must-start. We all know he’s a boom-bust receiver however with out Allen, he is cleared 100 receiving yards and acquired 10-plus targets in three of the 4 video games. He is a top-15 play, even with a very difficult matchup. The matchup does push Joshua Palmer outdoors the highest 36 as a dangerous flex play.
Gerald Everett (TE, LAC)
Very like Williams, Everett has been having fun with the extra quantity with Allen out. He lastly busted final week, nevertheless, as a good finish that’s to be anticipated, particularly contemplating Herbert solely had 22 completions. He is again within the high 12 this week, in a matchup that has been a little bit higher for tight ends than receivers.
Keenan Allen (hamstring)
UPDATE: Keena Allen is listed as questionable for Monday’s sport however will probably be held out if he feels “any” apprehension. You’ll be able to anticipate Allen to overlook once more this week, protecting Williams and Everett in play.
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